Saturday, May 1, 2010
Xtra Topic
I found the concept about cause and effect in population useful and interesting. Cause in population is usually explained as meaning that given the cause, there’s a higher probability that the effect will follow than if there were not the cause (Epstein p.320). An example is people who tan have a much higher probability of getting skin caner or eye cancer than non-tanners. People who tan or tan excessively have been proven to get certain eye and skin cancers and even though there are other factors that contribute to these illnesses both theses illness have been proven to be caused by cancer. Since the exact number of tans or exposure to UV-Rays is not know to directly cause cancer the cause and effect shows the higher probability of the illnesses. I found this concept in chapter fifteen to be most interesting. Cause and effect in populations are very common and useful to know about and see in life and I like how relatable this topic was to life.
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I also enjoyed the section that you decided to discuss in your post. In some cases of cause/effect, there is is a fine line regarding if the cause did indeed cause the effect. Often, it is decided that the cause is the reason for the effect or the cause is unrelated to the effect. Many people often forget that probability can be a factor. The cause can increase the odds of the effect happening but might not be the sole reason. I liked how you related it to UV rays, because I feel that that is a perfect example and in many cause/effect situations, science can be used to determine the probability in regards to the cause/effect.
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